Risk Assessment Tools for Mass Gatherings: a Narrative Review[1]
Summary
SANRA-guided narrative review (PubMed/Scopus/Google Scholar + WHO documents) of formal risk-assessment tools for mass gatherings. Six key tools identified and compared: the WHO tool, the Jeddah tool, India's MGRAT, Sweden's MAGRAT, and Saudi Arabia's SALEM framework — spanning multi-hazard assessment, reputational-risk analysis, interagency collaboration, and resource-limited adaptations. Global tools are comprehensive and adaptable; regional tools have proven out in specific cultural/religious contexts. Gaps: uneven event-type coverage and lack of technology integration in low-income settings. Calls for standardization and for combining localized and global tools with AI and real-time data.
So what
The catalogue MGMI's planning pages need: it names, sources, and compares the six formal risk-assessment instruments actually in use — the structured upstream complement to the PPR models (which predict load) and the SAG process (which governs). For a US planner the practical takeaway is that no American tool appears on the list: the WHO tool is the default import, and the SALEM/Jeddah lineage shows what a mature national framework looks like. Shelf candidate links to each named tool.
Key findings
- Six formal tools compared: WHO, Jeddah, MGRAT (India), MAGRAT (Sweden), SALEM (Saudi)
- Approaches span multi-hazard, reputational risk, interagency collaboration
- Regional tools validated in cultural/religious context; WHO tool the adaptable global default
- No US-origin tool in the field - notable gap for American planners
- Calls for standardization + AI/real-time data integration; free PMC full text
Read the paper
- Publisher (DOI) ↗may be paywalled
- PubMed ↗abstract · free
- PMC full text ↗free full text