Association of Heat Index and Patient Presentation Rate at a Stadium[1]
Summary
Prospective observational study across 73 analyzable baseball games (April-September 2023) at a large northeastern US stadium (mean attendance 40,824): heat index ranged 46-91 F; patients 0-5 per game (mean 1.92); PPR 5.04 per 100,000 attendees. Pearson correlation between heat index and PPR was 0.37 (P<.01) — a moderate positive association. Commonest complaints were lightheadedness and musculoskeletal. Existing on-site resources were never exceeded, but the authors flag the correlation as a planning input under a warming climate. (Authors are the on-site provider group; disclosed.)
So what
The American bounded-venue confirmation of the heat-PPR relationship at the mild end of the exposure curve: even in an enclosed northeastern baseball stadium, heat index moves presentations (r=0.37) — the same signal Locoh-Donou (RR 1.21/10 units) and Westrol (>=90 F threshold) found at other venue classes, now in a prospective single-venue design. Useful precisely because nothing bad happened: it quantifies the pre-surge slope planners can watch before Takeda-style Danger-threshold conditions arrive. Free full text.
Key findings
- 73 MLB games, prospective: PPR 5.04 per 100,000; heat index 46-91 F
- Heat index vs PPR correlation r=0.37 (P<.01) - moderate, at mild exposures
- Lightheadedness + MSK complaints dominate; resources never exceeded
- Third independent venue class confirming the heat-PPR slope (with Locoh-Donou, Westrol)
- Provider-group authorship disclosed; free PMC full text
Read the paper
- Publisher (DOI) ↗may be paywalled
- PubMed ↗abstract · free
- PMC full text ↗free full text