Prehosp Disaster Med
The field's quantitative founding document: 201 events, PPR 0.99/1,000, and the drivers everything since has tested. Primary-verified; regression live in the calculator.
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The Landmark Collection
The canon of mass gathering medicine, annotated — the twenty-five papers and documents a fellowship would assign, in reading order. Each links to its full library entry: verified citation, summary, key findings, and the operational "so what."
I. THE PREDICTIVE FOUNDATION
Prehosp Disaster Med
The variable taxonomy — weather, event type, duration, crowd, alcohol — that made planning an analysis instead of a guess.
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Prehosp Disaster Med
The event-type gradient with numbers: concerts an order of magnitude above ballgames; mosh pits at 110/10,000.
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Prehosp Disaster Med
The correction to model worship: the event's own history out-predicts the literature.
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Am J Emerg Med
Five factors, three tiers, resource mapping — least accurate exactly where stakes are highest.
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Prehosp Disaster Med
The theoretical frame that keeps prediction from being curve-fitting.
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Prehosp Disaster Med
The field's honest self-assessment: descriptive, needs science — still the standing challenge.
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Prehosp Disaster Med
The early definition of the discipline and its planning scope.
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II. OPERATIONS & MEDICAL DIRECTION
Prehosp Emerg Care
The 89% transport-reduction study — the case for physician-level care on site.
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J Emerg Med
The acuity reality check: staff for volume, prepare for the exception.
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Prehosp Emerg Care
The current consensus spine of US event-EMS practice.
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Prehosp Emerg Care
Six of 51 jurisdictions regulated — the vacuum MGMI's 50-state matrix will update.
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III. EVENT TYPOLOGY
Acad Emerg Med
Median 2.1/10,000, riot ceiling 71, rock at 2.5× — and music type explains only 4% of variance.
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Prehosp Disaster Med
722 deaths, 82% traumatic, trampling dominant — festival medicine reframed around prevention.
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N Engl J Med
0.54/100,000, 71% case fatality, HCM the leading killer; bystander CPR the survival lever.
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Sports Med
Acclimatization, euhydration, cooling, organizer duties — the participant heat doctrine.
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IV. HEAT & ENVIRONMENT
J Athl Train
The treatment doctrine anchor.
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Prehosp Emerg Care
~3 patients/10,000 per 10°F — weather as a staffing input.
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V. CROWD SCIENCE & CRUSH
Standard (book)
Where crowd density science begins.
DEPTH PASS PENDING
SSRN / EPJ
Crowd turbulence, not panic — systemic causation made rigorous.
DEPTH PASS PENDING
Science
Dense crowds as a physical medium with measurable wave propagation.
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VI. MCI READINESS & THE WIDER FRAME
BMJ Mil Health
Exercising is obligatory; casualty load unpredictable; review is how systems learn.
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Lancet Infect Dis
The five-direction WHO research frame MGMI's agenda extends.
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WHO
The global planning reference; aging, successor watched.
DEPTH PASS PENDING
SGSA
The most consequential binding medical-provision document anywhere; primary-verified values power the composer.
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Wave 2 in preparation: Aylwin 2006 · Biddinger 2013 · Hsieh 2009 · Krul 2012 · Almond 2005 · Borjesson 2011 · Measham 2019 · Chiampas 2009 · Ranse 2012/2016 · the Hillsborough reports, and more.